What was the latest Chicago PMI print?
Chicago PMI last printed 58.8 on Wed, Sep 30, 2026 against a 51.2 consensus forecast and a 47.1 prior, a +1.9 standard-deviation surprise. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
Chicago PMI: release dates, results and history
Chicago PMI last printed 58.8 on Wed, Sep 30, 2026 against a 51.2 consensus forecast and a 47.1 prior, a +1.9 standard-deviation surprise. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
Chicago is the oldest of the purchasing manager surveys, and historically the best single region for calling ISM manufacturing. Its panel leans toward large national firms. It prints on the last business day of the month it covers, one or two sessions ahead of ISM, so a big surprise resets the ISM whispers on the spot. Subscribers get it three minutes early, and that is why the tape sometimes moves before the public stamp.
NEXT RELEASE
Released monthly, last business day of the month, usually around 9:45 AM ET. The desk posts the print the second it lands.
Surprise vs forecast
+1.90
std dev
BEAT
-2-10+1+2
Printed above forecast. That gap is 1.90 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.
The trend
DESK-CAPTURED PRINTS · LAST 3
58.853.047.1
2026-072026-09
Every print the desk has captured for this series, drawn as a trend. The graded history, with consensus and the standard-deviation surprise on every row, comes through the Helious API.
How it moves Treasuries
A beat here is modestly bearish Treasuries, and it pulls ISM expectations up with it. When the move starts at 9:42, that is the early-access copy reaching the tape rather than random chop. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
Recent prints, as captured by the desk
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE (SD) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.8 | 51.2 | 47.1 | +1.90 | ABOVE FORECAST | |
| 47.1 | 57.9 | 57.6 | -2.70 | BELOW FORECAST | |
| 57.6 | 56.0 | 56.7 | +0.40 | ABOVE FORECAST |
The 3 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the API.
FAQ
When is the next Chicago PMI release?
Chicago PMI is released monthly, last business day of the month, usually around 9:45 AM ET. This page lists the next date as soon as it is scheduled.
Was the latest Chicago PMI print a beat or a miss?
It printed above the consensus forecast: 58.8 against 51.2, a +1.9 standard-deviation surprise. The standard deviation is measured against this indicator's own history of consensus misses, so the same gap means more on a series that rarely surprises.
Monthly, last business day of the month · 9:45 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.