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ISM Services PMI: Release Dates, Results & History

ISM Services PMI last printed 54.1 on Wed, Aug 5, 2026 against a 54.5 consensus forecast and a 54 prior, a -0.27 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.

Services is where the US economy actually lives, so ISM Services carries more macro weight than its manufacturing sibling. The prices subindex is a watched proxy for services inflation: the sticky part the Fed frets about. Surprise contractions here have produced some of the sharpest data-day bond rallies in recent years.

NEXT RELEASE
Consensus forecast: 54.1
Next release --:--
LATEST PRINT:
54.1
actual
54.5
forecast
54
prior
-0.27
std dev vs forecast
IN LINE
Full print analysis →
Surprise vs forecast
−0.27 std dev IN LINE
-2-10+1+2
Printed in line with forecast. That gap is only 0.27 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.

The trend, at a glance

DESK-CAPTURED PRINTS · LAST 2
Every print the desk has captured for this series, drawn as a trend. The graded history with consensus and the standard-deviation surprise on every row comes through the Helious API.

How it moves Treasuries

A services beat is bearish Treasuries, and a hot prices component compounds it via the sticky-inflation channel. Sub-50 surprises rally bonds hard because services weakness is rare and late-cycle. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.

Recent prints, as captured by the desk

DATEACTUALFORECASTPRIORSURPRISE (SD)PRINT
54.1 54.5 54.0 -0.27 BELOW FORECAST
54.0 54.2 54.5 -0.13 ON THE SCREWS

The 2 most recent prints from the desk's live capture (began July 2026), a sample. Every row links the print page published the moment the number landed; the full graded history is served by the API.

Monthly, third business day of the month · 10:00 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.

Catch the next print live