What was the latest ISM Services PMI print?
ISM Services PMI last printed 54.9 on Mon, Oct 5, 2026 against a 55 consensus forecast and a 55.4 prior, a -0.07 standard-deviation surprise. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
ISM Services PMI: release dates, results and history
ISM Services PMI last printed 54.9 on Mon, Oct 5, 2026 against a 55 consensus forecast and a 55.4 prior, a -0.07 standard-deviation surprise. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
Services are most of the US economy, so this survey carries more macro weight than the manufacturing one. The prices subindex is the part everyone watches, a stand-in for services inflation. That is the sticky part the Fed keeps worrying about. Surprise contractions here have set off some of the sharpest data-day bond rallies of the past few years.
NEXT RELEASE
Released monthly, third business day of the month, usually around 10:00 AM ET. The desk posts the print the second it lands.
Surprise vs forecast
−0.07
std dev
IN LINE
-2-10+1+2
Printed in line with forecast. That gap is only 0.07 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.
The trend
DESK-CAPTURED PRINTS · LAST 4
55.454.754.0
2026-072026-10
Every print the desk has captured for this series, drawn as a trend. The graded history, with consensus and the standard-deviation surprise on every row, comes through the Helious API.
How it moves Treasuries
A services beat pushes yields up, and a hot prices component adds to it because that is where the sticky inflation shows. A surprise print below 50 rallies bonds hard. Services rarely weaken at all, and when they do it is late in the cycle. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
Recent prints, as captured by the desk
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE (SD) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.9 | 55.0 | 55.4 | -0.07 | ON THE SCREWS | |
| 55.4 | 54.3 | 54.1 | +0.73 | ABOVE FORECAST | |
| 54.1 | 54.5 | 54.0 | -0.27 | BELOW FORECAST | |
| 54.0 | 54.2 | 54.5 | -0.13 | ON THE SCREWS |
The 4 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the API.
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FAQ
When is the next ISM Services PMI release?
ISM Services PMI is released monthly, third business day of the month, usually around 10:00 AM ET. This page lists the next date as soon as it is scheduled.
Was the latest ISM Services PMI print a beat or a miss?
It printed in line with the consensus forecast: 54.9 against 55, a -0.07 standard-deviation surprise. The standard deviation is measured against this indicator's own history of consensus misses, so the same gap means more on a series that rarely surprises.
Monthly, third business day of the month · 10:00 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.