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Daily brief 29 Jul 2026, 21:05 UTC

Treasury 30-year yield tops 5.20% for the first time since 2007, 10s -4bp

desk brief, Wed 29 Jul 2026

Treasuries (close 2026-07-28): 2s 4.26% (-5.0bp), 10s 4.61% (-4.0bp), 30s 5.09% (-3.0bp).

Tape (close 2026-07-28): VIX 18.21, 2s10s +35bp.

Narrative: Will New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Shock the Market and Deliver a Surprise Rate Hike at the Fed's July Meeting?

What mattered:

Treasury 30-year yield tops 5.20% for the first time since 2007.
US 30-Year Yield Soars to 19-Year High After Fed Holds Rates
BofA says Fed hike today would be one for the books
Odds of a 25bp hike in interest rates at over 50% on Kalshi
Fed Dissents Show Migration Toward Hike, JPMorgan's Michele Says

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