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Mortgage rates move higher, Treasury yields surge, 10s +6bp

desk brief, Thu 30 Jul 2026

Treasuries (close 2026-07-29): 2s 4.22% (-4.0bp), 10s 4.67% (+6.0bp), 30s 5.2% (+11.0bp).

Tape (close 2026-07-29): VIX 20.66, 2s10s +45bp.

Narrative: US 30-Year Yield Soars to 19-Year High After Fed Holds Rates

What mattered:

  • Mortgage rates move higher, Treasury yields surge
  • The Fed Likes the Sound of Interest Rate Hikes a Lot More
  • Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM): 0.1
  • Treasuries Move Notably Lower Amid Concerns About Interest Rate Outlook
  • Fed's Credibility Questioned, ‘Bond Vigilantes’ Return | Real Yield 7/30/2026
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