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Daily brief 15 Sept 2026, 21:05 UTC

Iran war likely to drive up inflation next year, CBO says, 10s +1bp

Tue 15 Sep 2026

Treasuries (close 2026-09-14): 2s 4.65% (+2.0bp), 10s 4.97% (+1.0bp), 30s 5.34% (-1.0bp).

Tape (close 2026-09-14): VIX 17.1, 2s10s +32bp.

Narrative: Euro declines against Canadian Dollar despite ECB rate hike hopes

What mattered:

Iran war likely to drive up inflation next year, CBO says
10-year Treasury yield hits highest level since 2007, oil surges above $105 as Fed expected to hike interest rates
Will Be 'Extremely Difficult 'For The FOMC To Not Raise Rates Says Richards
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Just Said the Quiet Part Out Loud About Inflation -- and History Says Investors Should Listen
20-year Treasury auction hits record yield as foreign demand plunges

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