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Daily brief 30 Sept 2026, 21:05 UTC

U.S. 10-year Treasury yield crosses 5.30% to highest since 2002, 10s +2bp

Wed 30 Sep 2026

Treasuries (close 2026-09-29): 2s 4.89% (-3.0bp), 10s 5.26% (+2.0bp), 30s 5.59% (+3.0bp).

Tape (close 2026-09-29): VIX 16.04, 2s10s +37bp.

Narrative: Fed's preferred inflation gauge cooler than expected, likely delaying rate hike to December

What mattered:

U.S. 10-year Treasury yield crosses 5.30% to highest since 2002
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY): 3.4
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM): 0.3
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY): 3
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM): 0.2

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