Core CPI (ex Food & Energy): release dates, results and history
Core CPI (ex Food & Energy) last printed 0.30% on Fri, Sep 11, 2026 against a 0.20% consensus forecast and a 0.20% prior, a +1.67 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
Food and energy swing around more than anything else in the index, so core CPI throws both out and what is left reads the underlying trend more cleanly. The Fed and the rates desks watch the monthly core print more closely than the headline. A run of 0.3s instead of 0.2s, and the cuts that were priced in come back out.
LATEST OFFICIAL Y/Y FIGURE: DATA (REFERENCE MONTH)
2.4%
actual y/y
—
forecast
2.5%
prior
This is the year-over-year tenor of the same release, taken from the release calendar.
Surprise vs forecast
+1.67std devBEAT
-2-10+1+2
Printed above forecast. That gap is 1.67 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.
The trend
OFFICIAL SERIES · LAST 35 OBSERVATIONS · % M/M
+0.43%0-0.02%
2023-082026-08
4.4%3.4%2.4%
2023-082026-08
The official published series at its current vintage, revisions included, so the newest point can differ from the number as first printed. The release-by-release history, with the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise on every row, comes through the Helious API.
How it moves Treasuries
On an inflation print a beat means hotter than consensus, and hotter is bearish for Treasuries. The move lands hardest in the belly, the middle of the curve, as the market reprices the Fed path. Miss to the downside and bonds rally fast, especially when cuts are live. See it scored live on the Helious desk,
or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
The 3 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the API.
Official series history
PERIOD
VALUE (% M/M)
Y/Y
PRIOR
+0.29%
2.4%
+0.22%
+0.22%
2.5%
-0.02%
-0.02%
2.6%
+0.21%
+0.21%
2.8%
+0.38%
+0.38%
2.7%
+0.2%
+0.2%
2.6%
+0.22%
+0.22%
2.5%
+0.3%
+0.3%
2.5%
+0.23%
These are the most recent official
rows, and the chart above draws the longer series behind them. The desk-captured prints higher up
the page carry the consensus forecast and the standard-deviation surprise as they stood the moment
each number landed.
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FAQ
What was the latest Core CPI (ex Food & Energy) print?
Core CPI (ex Food & Energy) last printed 0.30% on Fri, Sep 11, 2026 against a 0.20% consensus forecast and a 0.20% prior, a +1.67 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
When is the next Core CPI (ex Food & Energy) release?
The next Core CPI (ex Food & Energy) release is Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET, with a consensus forecast of 0.20% m/m and 2.5% y/y. Helious posts the print, the surprise against consensus and a verdict the second it lands.
Was the latest Core CPI (ex Food & Energy) print a beat or a miss?
It printed above the consensus forecast: 0.30% against 0.20%, a +1.67 standard-deviation surprise. The standard deviation is measured against this indicator's own history of consensus misses, so the same gap means more on a series that rarely surprises.
