Core PCE Price Index: Release Dates, Results & History
Core PCE Price Index last printed 0.2 on Wed, Aug 26, 2026 against a 0.2 consensus forecast and a 0.1 prior, exactly on consensus. The next release is Friday, September 25, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
Core PCE is THE number the Fed targets: every dot in the SEP is framed against it. Rates desks track the monthly annualized run-rate (3m and 6m) as the real-time scorecard on whether inflation is heading back to 2%. It decides whether the next FOMC leans dovish or hawkish.
The trend, at a glance
How it moves Treasuries
A hot core PCE print is bearish across the curve with the front end leading; an in-line or soft print typically extends whatever the post-CPI move was. Surprises are rare but potent since this is the target itself. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
Recent prints, as captured by the desk
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE (SD) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.00 | ON THE SCREWS | |
| 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | -1.67 | BELOW FORECAST |
The 2 most recent prints from the desk's live capture (began July 2026), a sample. Every row links the print page published the moment the number landed; the full graded history is served by the API.
Official series history
| PERIOD | VALUE (% M/M) | Y/Y | PRIOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| +0.25% | 3.3% | +0.15% | |
| +0.15% | 3.3% | +0.36% | |
| +0.36% | 3.5% | +0.26% | |
| +0.26% | 3.3% | +0.3% | |
| +0.3% | 3.3% | +0.39% | |
| +0.39% | 3.0% | +0.44% | |
| +0.44% | 3.1% | +0.33% | |
| +0.33% | 3.0% | +0.18% |
The most recent official rows; the chart above draws the longer series. Desk-captured prints above include the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise the moment each number landed.
Related indicators
Monthly, end of month with Personal Income & Outlays · 8:30 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.