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Durable Goods Orders: Release Dates, Results & History

Durable Goods Orders last printed 1.1 on Wed, Aug 26, 2026 against a 0.7 consensus forecast and a 0.3 prior, a +0.28 standard-deviation surprise. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.

Headline durables is hostage to aircraft orders. A single Boeing month can swing it double digits. The number that matters is core capital goods orders (nondefense ex-aircraft), the cleanest monthly proxy for business capex. Desks skip the headline and go straight to the core shipments figure that feeds GDP.

NEXT RELEASE
Scheduled monthly, ~fourth week of the month, typically 8:30 AM ET: the desk posts the print the second it lands.
LATEST PRINT:
1.1
actual
0.7
forecast
0.3
prior
+0.28
std dev vs forecast
IN LINE
Full print analysis →
Surprise vs forecast
+0.28 std dev IN LINE
-2-10+1+2
Printed in line with forecast. That gap is only 0.28 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.

The trend, at a glance

OFFICIAL SERIES · LAST 36 OBSERVATIONS · % M/M
The official published series at its current vintage — revisions included, so the newest point can differ from the number as first printed. The release-by-release history with the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise on every row comes through the Helious API.

How it moves Treasuries

A core capex beat is mildly bearish Treasuries; headline swings get heavily discounted for transportation noise. Rarely a big rates mover on its own. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.

Recent prints, as captured by the desk

DATEACTUALFORECASTPRIORSURPRISE (SD)PRINT
1.1 0.7 0.3 +0.28 ABOVE FORECAST
0.3 1.6 -4.5 -0.90 BELOW FORECAST

The 2 most recent prints from the desk's live capture (began July 2026), a sample. Every row links the print page published the moment the number landed; the full graded history is served by the API.

Official series history

PERIODVALUE (% M/M)PRIOR
+1.07% +0.54%
+0.54% -4%
-4% +8.51%
+8.51% +1.34%
+1.34% -1.17%
-1.17% -0.43%
-0.43% -0.91%
-0.91% +5.44%

The most recent official rows; the chart above draws the longer series. Desk-captured prints above include the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise the moment each number landed.

Monthly, ~fourth week of the month · 8:30 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.

Catch the next print live