GDP Growth Rate: Release Dates, Results & History
GDP Growth Rate last printed 1.5 on Wed, Aug 26, 2026 against a 1.5 consensus forecast and a 1.5 prior, exactly on consensus. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
The advance GDP estimate is the quarter's headline growth verdict and the vintage that moves markets. Second and third estimates rarely do. Desks look past the headline to final sales and the core PCE quarterly figure buried in the release. A growth scare or blowout resets the soft-landing debate in one print.
The trend, at a glance
How it moves Treasuries
A GDP beat is bearish Treasuries on the growth channel, but the embedded price index can dominate: a soft deflator with a strong headline can leave yields lower. Advance estimate surprises of half a point move the long end. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
Recent prints, as captured by the desk
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE (SD) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.00 | ON THE SCREWS | |
| +1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | -1.09 | BELOW FORECAST |
The 2 most recent prints from the desk's live capture (began July 2026), a sample. Every row links the print page published the moment the number landed; the full graded history is served by the API.
Official series history
| PERIOD | VALUE (% Q/Q SAAR) | PRIOR |
|---|---|---|
| +1.5% | +2.1% | |
| +2.1% | +0.5% | |
| +0.5% | +4.4% | |
| +4.4% | +3.8% | |
| +3.8% | -0.6% | |
| -0.6% | +1.9% | |
| +1.9% | +3.3% | |
| +3.3% | +3.6% |
The most recent official rows; the chart above draws the longer series. Desk-captured prints above include the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise the moment each number landed.
Related indicators
Quarterly, three vintages: advance (~month 1), second, third estimate · 8:30 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.