ADP Employment Change: Release Dates, Results & History
ADP Employment Change last printed 44K on Wed, Aug 5, 2026 against a 70K consensus forecast and a 98K prior, a -0.4 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Wednesday, September 2, 2026 at 8:15 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
ADP is the private-payrolls preview two days before NFP. Its month-to-month correlation with the official number is loose, but the market trades it anyway because it's the only jobs data point in the window. Big ADP surprises shift NFP whisper numbers and positioning into Friday.
How it moves Treasuries
A strong ADP print is bearish Treasuries, though the move is a fraction of NFP's and often partially faded by Friday. It matters most when it confirms a building labor-market narrative. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
Recent prints, as captured by the desk
| DATE | ACTUAL | FORECAST | PRIOR | SURPRISE (SD) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44K | 70K | 98K | -0.40 | BELOW FORECAST |
The 1 most recent prints from the desk's live capture (began July 2026), a sample. Every row links the print page published the moment the number landed; the full graded history is served by the API.
Related indicators
Monthly, the Wednesday before Jobs Friday · 8:15 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.