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Initial Jobless Claims: Release Dates, Results & History

Initial Jobless Claims last printed 203K on Thu, Aug 27, 2026 against a 208K consensus forecast and a 206K prior, a -0.36 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Thursday, September 3, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.

Claims are the highest-frequency read on the labor market: a real-time layoffs tape, every Thursday. Desks watch the 4-week average and continuing claims for trend; a sustained grind higher is the earliest hard-data recession signal available. In fragile tape, a bad claims print can move markets like a tier-1 release.

NEXT RELEASE
Consensus forecast: 205K
Next release --:--
LATEST PRINT:
203K
actual
208K
forecast
206K
prior
-0.36
std dev vs forecast
IN LINE
Full print analysis →
Surprise vs forecast
−0.36 std dev IN LINE
-2-10+1+2
Printed in line with forecast. That gap is only 0.36 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.

The trend, at a glance

OFFICIAL SERIES · LAST 36 OBSERVATIONS · CLAIMS
The official published series at its current vintage — revisions included, so the newest point can differ from the number as first printed. The release-by-release history with the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise on every row comes through the Helious API.

How it moves Treasuries

Higher claims are bullish Treasuries: rising layoffs pull Fed cuts forward. A 20-30k miss above consensus reliably bids the front end, especially with continuing claims confirming. See it scored live on the Helious desk, or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.

Recent prints, as captured by the desk

DATEACTUALFORECASTPRIORSURPRISE (SD)PRINT
203K 208K 206K -0.36 BELOW FORECAST
206K 210K 209K -0.29 BELOW FORECAST
209K 202K 199K +0.50 ABOVE FORECAST
199K 202K 197K -0.21 BELOW FORECAST
197K 200K 187K -0.21 BELOW FORECAST
187K 212K 208K -1.79 BELOW FORECAST

The 6 most recent prints from the desk's live capture (began July 2026), a sample. Every row links the print page published the moment the number landed; the full graded history is served by the API.

Official series history

PERIODVALUE (CLAIMS)PRIORCHANGE
203K 207K -4K
207K 212K -5K
212K 200K +12K
200K 198K +2K
198K 189K +9K
189K 209K -20K
209K 217K -8K
217K 217K +0K

The most recent official rows; the chart above draws the longer series. Desk-captured prints above include the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise the moment each number landed.

Weekly, every Thursday · 8:30 AM ET · download a sample (CSV, recent rows), free to cite with a link to this page. The full history comes through the Helious API and MCP at api.helious.io/mcp, with depth set by plan.

Catch the next print live