Initial Jobless Claims: release dates, results and history
Initial Jobless Claims last printed 197K on Thu, Oct 8, 2026 against a 200K consensus forecast and a 197K prior, a -0.21 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
Claims are the fastest read there is on the labor market, a layoffs tape out every Thursday. The trend is what matters, not any one week, so desks read the 4-week average and continuing claims alongside the headline. A grind higher that keeps going is the earliest recession warning available in hard data. And when the tape is already fragile, one bad claims number can move markets as hard as a tier-1 release.
Printed in line with forecast. That gap is only 0.21 times the size of a normal gap for this indicator.
The trend
OFFICIAL SERIES · LAST 36 OBSERVATIONS · CLAIMS
230000209500189000
2026-012026-10
The official published series at its current vintage, revisions included, so the newest point can differ from the number as first printed. The release-by-release history, with the consensus forecast and standard-deviation surprise on every row, comes through the Helious API.
How it moves Treasuries
Higher claims rally Treasuries, because more layoffs bring Fed cuts closer. Come in 20 to 30k above consensus and the front end gets bid, reliably, and harder still when continuing claims say the same thing. See it scored live on the Helious desk,
or read how the standard-deviation surprise is computed.
The 6 most recent prints from the desk's live capture, which began in July 2026, so what you see here is a sample rather than the whole record. Every row links the print page published the moment that number landed, and the full graded history is served by the API.
Official series history
PERIOD
VALUE (CLAIMS)
PRIOR
CHANGE
197K
199K
-2K
199K
198K
+1K
198K
198K
+0K
198K
207K
-9K
207K
207K
+0K
207K
204K
+3K
204K
207K
-3K
207K
212K
-5K
These are the most recent official
rows, and the chart above draws the longer series behind them. The desk-captured prints higher up
the page carry the consensus forecast and the standard-deviation surprise as they stood the moment
each number landed.
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FAQ
What was the latest Initial Jobless Claims print?
Initial Jobless Claims last printed 197K on Thu, Oct 8, 2026 against a 200K consensus forecast and a 197K prior, a -0.21 standard-deviation surprise. The next release is Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET. Captured live by Helious the moment it printed.
When is the next Initial Jobless Claims release?
The next Initial Jobless Claims release is Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET, with a consensus forecast of 200K. Helious posts the print, the surprise against consensus and a verdict the second it lands.
Was the latest Initial Jobless Claims print a beat or a miss?
It printed in line with the consensus forecast: 197K against 200K, a -0.21 standard-deviation surprise. The standard deviation is measured against this indicator's own history of consensus misses, so the same gap means more on a series that rarely surprises.
